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WEEK 7

GAME PREVIEW

2026
MICHIGAN FOOTBALL · WEEK 7
Michigan logoMICHIGANBig Ten
VS
Penn State logoPENN STATEBig Ten
DATEOct 17KICKOFFTBD ETLOCATIONMichigan Stadium
MFF MODELPRESEASON PROJECTIONFROZEN BEFORE WEEK 1
MICHIGAN WIN PROBABILITY79%
PROJECTED MARGIN+10.1MICHIGAN PERSPECTIVE
FULL SEASON PROJECTION
2025 OPPONENT-ADJUSTED RIDGE

HOW THEY STACK UP

Higher rating is better.
100 = FBS average

Michigan logoMICHIGAN
EDGERATING-POINT DIFFERENCE
Penn State logoPENN STATE
#25NATIONAL
112.0RATING
OVERALL
+0.1PENN STATE EDGE
MICHEVENPENN STATE
#24NATIONAL
112.0RATING
#24NATIONAL
114.2RATING
OFFENSE
+2.9PENN STATE EDGE
MICHEVENPENN STATE
#18NATIONAL
117.1RATING
#36NATIONAL
109.7RATING
DEFENSE
+2.8MICHIGAN EDGE
MICHEVENPENN STATE
#44NATIONAL
107.0RATING

National ranks and ratings use the same opponent-adjusted Ridge system as the Analytics page. The center indicator shows which team owns the rating advantage in each category.

MARKETSPREAD
CURRENT LINEMichigan -6.5DraftKings · 2026-08-19
DEEP DIVEREAD THE FULL GAME PREVIEWMatchups, personnel and what matters most.